Econ 702

Macroeconomics I

Charles Engel and Menzie Chinn

 

Engel:

Office hours: TTh 1:30-3:00, and by appointment

7460 Sewell Social Sciences Building

 

Email: cengel@ssc.wisc.edu

Cell (please text only, no phone calls): 608-335-6986

WeChat ID: cengel1111

 

Answers to First Test

 

Link to Menzie Chinn's Econ 702 website

 

Syllabus 

 

Homework:

 

Assigned

Due

Homework

Answers

Jan. 22

Jan. 29

HW1

ANS1

Jan. 29

Feb. 5

HW2

ANS2

Feb. 5

Feb. 12

HW3

ANS3

Feb. 12

Feb. 19

HW4

ANS4

Feb. 19

Feb. 26

HW5

ANS5

Feb. 26

March 4

HW6

ANS6

March 4

March 11

HW7

ANS7

 

Lecture Slides:

Lecture 1: Introduction and Macroeconomic Data

Lecture 2: Solow Growth Model I

Lecture 3: Solow Growth Model II

Lecture 4: Augmented Solow Growth Model

Lecture 5: Evidence on Long-Run Growth

Lecture 6: Optimal Consumption and Saving: Part 1

Lecture 7: Optimal Consumption and Saving: Part 2

Lecture 8: Optimal Growth Model

Lecture 9: Neoclassical Model

Lecture 10: "Shocks" in the Neoclassical Model

Lecture 11: Assessing the Neoclassical Model

 

Readings

            The main textbook is

 

Garin, Julio; Robert Lester; and, Eric Sims. 2018. Intermediate Macroeconomics. https://www3.nd.edu/~esims1/gls_textbook.html

 

 

Other readings are listed below.

 

 

Topic/Reading

1/22

Introduction and Macro Data

 

Garin, Lester and Sims, Chapters 1, 2 and 3

 

Engel, Charles. 2017. "Econ 666 Notes. Chapter 1: Balance of Payments Accounting and National Income Accounting." Pages 28-37.

 

Furman, Jason. 2016. "Extracting the Signal from the Noise: Seven Tips for Interpreting Macroeconomic Data." Milken Institute Review http://www.milkenreview.org/articles/extracting-the-signal-from-the-noise-7-tips-for-interpreting-macroeconomic-data

 

1/27

International Comparisons

 

Garin, Lester and Sims, Chapter 4.

 

Central Intelligence Agency, The World Factbook. "Economy" section for China, Colombia, Czechia, India, South Korea, United States.

 

1/29

Solow Growth Model

 

Garin, Lester and Sims, Chapter 5, section 5.1

 

2/3

Solow Growth Model

 

Garin, Lester and Sims, Chapter 5, sections 5.2-5.3

 

2/5

Solow Growth Model

 

Garin, Lester and Sims, Chapter 5, sections 5.4-5.6

 

Lucas, Robert E. Jr. 1988. "On the Mechanics of Economic Development." Journal of Monetary Economics 22. Pages 3-17.

 

2/10

Augmented Solow Growth Model

 

Garin, Lester and Sims, Chapter 6

 

2/12

Cross-Country Income Differences

 

Garin, Lester and Sims, Chapter 7

 

Acemoglu, Daron; Simon Johnson; and, James A. Robinson. 2005. "Institutions as a Fundamental Cause of Long-Run Growth," in Philippe Aghion and Steven Durlauf, eds., Handbook of Economic Growth, vol. 1, part A, 385-472.

 

Zillibotti, Fabrizio. 2017. "Growing and Slowing Down Like China." Journal of the European Economic Association 15, 943-947, 952-988.

 

2/17

Consumption-Saving Model

 

Garin, Lester and Sims, Chapter 9, sections 9.1-9.3

 

2/19

Consumption-Saving Model

 

Garin, Lester and Sims, Chapter 9, section 9.4

 

2/24

Optimal Growth Model

 

Engel, Charles. 2019. "Notes on Optimal Growth Model."

 

2/26

Neoclassical Model

 

Garin, Lester and Sims, Chapter 17

 

3/2

Shocks in Neoclassical Model

 

Garin, Lester and Sims, Chapter 18

 

3/4

Taking the Neolcassical Model to the Data

 

Garin, Lester and Sims, Chapter 19

 

Rebelo, Sergio. 2005. "Real Business Cycle Models: Past, Present and Future." Scandinavian Journal of Economics 107, 217-238.

 

3/9

Wrap-up on Neolcassical Model

 

Garin, Lester and Sims, Chapters 20 and 21

 

3/11

New Keynesian IS-LM-AD

 

Garin, Lester and Sims, Chapter 23

 

Gali, Jordi, "The State of New Keynesian Economics: A Partial Assessment," JEP 2018. https://pubs.aeaweb.org/doi/pdfplus/10.1257/jep.32.3.87

 

3/12

First Exam: 5:30-7:00 PM

Social Sciences 5208

3/23

New Keynesian Supply Side

 

Garin, Lester and Sims, Chapter 24

 

Nakamura, Emi, and Jon Steinsson. "Price rigidity: Microeconomic evidence and macroeconomic implications." Annu. Rev. Econ. 5.1 (2013): 133-163. https://www.ssc.wisc.edu/~mchinn/Nakamura_Steinsson_w18705.pdf 

3/25

New Keynesian Supply Side

 

Garin, Lester and Sims, Chapter 24

 

Coibion, Olivier, Yuriy Gorodnichenko, and Rupal Kamdar. "The formation of expectations, inflation, and the phillips curve." Journal of Economic Literature 56.4 (2018): 1447-91. https://www.ssc.wisc.edu/~mchinn/Coibion_jel.20171300.pdf 

 

3/30

Shocks in the New Keynesian Model

 

Garin, Lester and Sims, Chapter 25

 

4/1

Shocks in the New Keynesian Model

 

Garin, Lester and Sims, Chapter 25

 

4/6

Dynamics in the New Keynesian Model

 

Garin, Lester and Sims, Chapter 26

 

Ahmed, Shaghil, Andrew Levin, and Beth Anne Wilson. "Recent US macroeconomic stability: good policies, good practices, or good luck." Review of economics and statistics 86.3 (2004): 824-832.  https://www.federalreserve.gov/pubs/ifdp/2002/730/ifdp730.pdf

 

4/8

Dynamics in the New Keynesian Model

 

Garin, Lester and Sims, Chapter 26

 

4/13

Monetary Policy

 

Garin, Lester and Sims, Chapter 27

 

Orphanides, Athanasios, and Simon van Norden. "The unreliability of output-gap estimates in real time." Review of economics and statistics 84.4 (2002): 569-583. https://www.federalreserve.gov/Pubs/FEDS/1999/199938/199938pap.pdf

 

4/15

Monetary Policy

 

Garin, Lester and Sims, Chapter 27

 

Hamilton, James D., et al. "The equilibrium real funds rate: Past, present, and future." IMF Economic Review 64.4 (2016): 660-707. https://econweb.ucsd.edu/~jhamilto/USMPF_2015.pdf

4/20

Zero Lower Bound

 

Garin, Lester and Sims, Chapter 28

 

Kuttner, "Outside the Box: Unconventional Monetary Policy in the Great Recession and Beyond," Journal of Economic Perspectives 32(4) (Fall 2018). https://pubs.aeaweb.org/doi/pdfplus/10.1257/jep.32.4.121

 

4/22

Bond Pricing and the Term Structure

 

Garin, Lester and Sims, Chapter 33

 

Chinn, Menzie and Kavan Kucko, "The Predictive Power of the Yield Curve across Countries and Time," International Finance (March 2015)    http://www.ssc.wisc.edu/~mchinn/Chinn_Kucko_IF2015.pdf

 

4/27

Financial Frictions

 

Garin, Lester and Sims, Chapter 35

 

Bernanke, Gertler and Gilchrist, "The Financial Accelerator and the Flight to Quality," The Review of Economics and Statistics 78(1). (Feb., 1996): 1-15. http://www.ssc.wisc.edu/~mchinn/bernanke_etal_restat96.pdf

 

4/29

Review

 

 5/1

Second Exam: 5:30-7:00 PM

Social Sciences 5208